Archive for 'Interest Rates'

RBA Reprieve ...
But don't be Fooled

Posted on 09. Jun, 2011 by .

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Australia's GDP will surge back during the June quarter — to make a further rate rise in July almost inevitable.

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Top Commercial Property Investors
Always Have a Master Plan

Posted on 11. May, 2011 by .

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To be truly successful, you actually need to have a Master Plan. And so, here are 6 Steps towards helping you formulate one.

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The RBA Keeps Its Powder Dry

Posted on 04. May, 2011 by .

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The RBA has displayed a bias towards pre-emptive action. And there is no reason to suggest it would suddenly change that approach.

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Rates on Hold ... For Now!

Posted on 05. Apr, 2011 by .

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Yesterday, the Reserve Bank left the cash rate unchanged at 4.75%. And these graphs will help to explain the current dilemma.

For the time being, the RBA's focus is upon "inflation excluding volatile items" — in part caused by the various natural disasters, both here and overseas.

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The Spectre of
Rising Interest Rates

Posted on 08. Feb, 2011 by .

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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is not seeing the Australian flood disasters as having a prolonged effect upon the national economy.

It certainly expects the March quarter GDP to decline by 0.5%. But it is then projecting a 4.25% surge, over the remainder of this year.

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Retail Reality

Posted on 01. Feb, 2011 by .

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As this graph shows, there is a long-term relationship between unemployment and retail vacancies.

Using just this measure alone, you could easily assume there would be a healthy couple of years ahead of the retail sector.

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Retail Property Facing Challenges

Posted on 22. Dec, 2010 by .

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Having weathered the recent rate increases, consumer confidence seems to have risen just a measly 0.3% during November — according to the latest Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index. Households still appear to prefer paying down debt, rather than spending — with Australia's saving level hovering around a record 10.5% of its disposable income.

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Most Economists Agree ...

Posted on 24. Nov, 2010 by .

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Which, when you think about it, is quite an achievement in itself! About a fortnight ago,Treasurer Wayne Swan was crowing about the Labor government's achievements during his Mid-Year Outlook.

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Why November?

Posted on 05. Nov, 2010 by .

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Most people seemed taken by surprise, when the RBA chose to raise the cash rate to 4.75% on Cup Day this week. However, with Oaks Day being held yesterday, I thought today would be better timing for this post. Sure, the September quarter CPI had fallen to within the RBA's target range. And yes, there [...]

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Will They ... or Won't They?

Posted on 26. Oct, 2010 by .

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Last month, the RBA left rates on hold — because of what it saw as mixed signals within the Australian economy. And the rising $A is certainly making its job easier, by generally cooling activity. Growth within the Construction industry appears to have fallen to its lowest level in 18 years. Although turnover for mining [...]

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Global Progress?

Posted on 13. Oct, 2010 by .

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The IMF has recently trimmed its overall global forecast — down to 4.2% from 4.3%, for 2011. The emerging and developing economies are tipped to grow by 6.4% (with China's growth being over 9%). Whereas, the various advanced economies are expected to grow by a subdued 2.2%, on average. However, any double-dip recession is considered [...]

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