Archive for 'Interest Rates'
RBA Reprieve ...
But don't be Fooled
Posted on 09. Jun, 2011 by Chris Lang.
Australia's GDP will surge back during the June quarter — to make a further rate rise in July almost inevitable.
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Top Commercial Property Investors
Always Have a Master Plan
Posted on 11. May, 2011 by Chris Lang.
To be truly successful, you actually need to have a Master Plan. And so, here are 6 Steps towards helping you formulate one.
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The RBA Keeps Its Powder Dry
Posted on 04. May, 2011 by Chris Lang.
The RBA has displayed a bias towards pre-emptive action. And there is no reason to suggest it would suddenly change that approach.
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Rates on Hold ... For Now!
Posted on 05. Apr, 2011 by Chris Lang.
Yesterday, the Reserve Bank left the cash rate unchanged at 4.75%. And these graphs will help to explain the current dilemma.
For the time being, the RBA's focus is upon "inflation excluding volatile items" — in part caused by the various natural disasters, both here and overseas.
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The Spectre of
Rising Interest Rates
Posted on 08. Feb, 2011 by Chris Lang.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is not seeing the Australian flood disasters as having a prolonged effect upon the national economy.
It certainly expects the March quarter GDP to decline by 0.5%. But it is then projecting a 4.25% surge, over the remainder of this year.
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Retail Reality
Posted on 01. Feb, 2011 by Chris Lang.
As this graph shows, there is a long-term relationship between unemployment and retail vacancies.
Using just this measure alone, you could easily assume there would be a healthy couple of years ahead of the retail sector.
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Retail Property Facing Challenges
Posted on 22. Dec, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Having weathered the recent rate increases, consumer confidence seems to have risen just a measly 0.3% during November — according to the latest Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index. Households still appear to prefer paying down debt, rather than spending — with Australia's saving level hovering around a record 10.5% of its disposable income.
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Most Economists Agree ...
Posted on 24. Nov, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Which, when you think about it, is quite an achievement in itself! About a fortnight ago,Treasurer Wayne Swan was crowing about the Labor government's achievements during his Mid-Year Outlook.
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Why November?
Posted on 05. Nov, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Most people seemed taken by surprise, when the RBA chose to raise the cash rate to 4.75% on Cup Day this week. However, with Oaks Day being held yesterday, I thought today would be better timing for this post. Sure, the September quarter CPI had fallen to within the RBA's target range. And yes, there [...]
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Will They ... or Won't They?
Posted on 26. Oct, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Last month, the RBA left rates on hold — because of what it saw as mixed signals within the Australian economy. And the rising $A is certainly making its job easier, by generally cooling activity. Growth within the Construction industry appears to have fallen to its lowest level in 18 years. Although turnover for mining [...]
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Global Progress?
Posted on 13. Oct, 2010 by Chris Lang.
The IMF has recently trimmed its overall global forecast — down to 4.2% from 4.3%, for 2011. The emerging and developing economies are tipped to grow by 6.4% (with China's growth being over 9%). Whereas, the various advanced economies are expected to grow by a subdued 2.2%, on average. However, any double-dip recession is considered [...]



