Archive for 'Retail Sector'
"Doing Nothing Will Cost You!"
Posted on 26. Aug, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Whenever Investors are confused ... the Property Market tends to do nothing and simply moves sideways.
You observed that when the GFC first struck.
People simply put their buying decisions 'on hold'. And then, frantically played catch-up over the last 12 months ... as soon as they realised things were still okay here in Australia.
Over that [...]
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"Cycles Ain't Cycles"
Posted on 09. Aug, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Overall, Australia has sailed through the Global Financial Crisis more or less unscathed. And from all accounts, Victoria and enjoys the standout economy of all the States.
The Traditional Cycle Has Been Interrupted
Last week, you explored the traditional cycle for CBD Offices — being 18 years from peak to peak. And over that same period, Retail [...]
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Commercial Property Cycles ...
Posted on 03. Aug, 2010 by Chris Lang.
How do you ever understand them?
Before talking to you about Commercial property, let's take a quick look at Investment Cycles in general.
A recent AFR article contained this rather clever chart ... showing an Investor's mood at different points throughout the Cycle.
My reading would be that Australia is currently at the "Optimism" stage of the upturn [...]
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Interest Rates Looking Forward
Posted on 03. Jun, 2010 by Chris Lang.
... and Commercial Property
This week's decision by the RBA to leave the cash rate on hold was an easy one — mainly because the major banks had basically helped it out, by increasing their rates earlier by a greater margin.
The RBA's view was that the current rate of 4.5% was "appropriate for the near term". [...]
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Commercial Property Yields?
Posted on 26. May, 2010 by Chris Lang.
... Exactly How Do They Work?
Recently, I was invited to conduct a Workshop at a 3-day Conference for some 1200 delegates.
My role was to provide some insight into the main Commercial property sectors. And explain just how the combined returns for each sector relate to one another.
So what I've done is to create a short [...]
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Will Interest Rates Affect
Commercial Yields?
Posted on 07. Apr, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Yesterday, the RBA confirmed an upward bias with its latest rate increase.
This table from today's Financial Review seems to sum up the RBA's position fairly well.
Residential property prices are still surging (particularly in Sydney & Melbourne); and our commodity exports have also regained their momentum.
As such, the RBA has decided that Australia is in full [...]
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Retail Returns to Favour
Posted on 31. Mar, 2010 by Chris Lang.
Retail property has had some press coverage of late.
It has shown a surprising improvement, given global events and the hike in interest rates.
Westfield (a good retail barometer) reported a strong mid-year result from its Australian shopping centres.
As you can see from the table, Vacancy rates have fallen significantly and Yields firmed — particularly within the [...]
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Biggest Economic Threat For Australia
Posted on 13. Jan, 2010 by Chris Lang.
It might surprise you to hear this, however ...
A Strong US Recovery
... would probably be the worst thing to happen for Australia in 2010.
If that occurs, the US Federal Reserve would be forced to quickly raise interest rates, from zero to around 3%. And that would cause the collapse in the Australian dollar from its [...]
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How Interest Rates Affect
the Property Markets
Posted on 17. Nov, 2009 by Chris Lang.
If the Reserve Bank (RBA) further increases rates in December, you will start to see the housing market plateau in the New Year. However, this should have little or no immediate effect on the rest of the economy.
n all discussion about Australia's improving economy and retail spending, there has been little regard placed upon the [...]
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Sentiment is Strong ... Despite the Economy
Posted on 10. Jul, 2009 by Chris Lang.
These graphs are painting a very encouraging picture.
As you can see, the Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index increased strongly by 9.5% for June.
And that means it has now leapt by some 23% since May — the largest 2-month increase for over 30 years.
First-home buyers have also been active, accounting for nearly 30% of [...]
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Depreciation : 4 Myths Keeping You From
Maximising Your Secret Tax Advantage
Posted on 03. Jun, 2009 by Chris Lang.
Depreciation is probably the most under-used weapon to legitimately shelter a significant portion of your property income.
And as a Commercial Investor, you really do have an unfair advantage over somebody investing in only residential property.
Therefore, let's now set about dispelling a few of the common Myths concerning Depreciation.
